BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Central Arkansas
Class: 1B Class Rank: 24 Overall: (7-4) Overall Strength = 117.33
Conference: ASUN-Western Atheltic Conference Record: (5-2) | District: 1B-01 Record: (6-3)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2023 Away L 128.88 13 27 1A 36 ( 10- 4) Oklahoma St 11.54 -25.54
2 09/09/2023 Home W 94.31 70 2 NA 90 ( 1- 10) Texas College -23.02 * 91.02
3 09/16/2023 Away L 118.73 31 49 1B 3 ( 11- 4) North Dakota St 1.40 -19.40
4 09/23/2023 Home W * 141.20 52 17 1B 50 ( 5- 6) Abilene Christian 23.87 11.13
5 09/30/2023 Away W * 121.58 29 27 1B 23 ( 6- 5) Southern Utah 4.24 -2.24
6 10/07/2023 Home W 113.13 38 33 1B 43 ( 4- 7) SE Missouri St -4.21 9.21
7 10/14/2023 Home W * 108.29 24 21 1B 55 ( 3- 8) Stephen F. Austin -9.05 12.05
8 10/28/2023 Home L * 110.79 23 25 1B 30 ( 8- 3) Tarleton St -6.55 4.55
9 11/04/2023 Away W * 119.47 27 14 1B 60 ( 3- 8) North Alabama 2.14 10.86
10 11/11/2023 Home W * 112.75 27 24 1B 36 ( 5- 6) Eastern Kentucky -4.58 7.58
11 11/18/2023 Away L * 121.54 12 14 1B 12 ( 9- 3) Austin Peay 4.21 -6.21
Averages 117.33 31.5 23.0
Best game: 141.20 = 35 point win over Abilene Christian
Worst game: 94.31 = 68 point win over Texas College
Team stdev: 11.99